Keywords
Causality, Mendelian randomization, Endometriosis, Cancer, Ovarian cancer
Endometriosis is an inflammatory condition with lesions made up of endometrial-like tissue outside the uterus,
including ovaries, the perineum, the lung, or even the central nervous system1. It affects approximately 6–10%
of women worldwide and causes symptoms such as dysmenorrhea, pelvic pain, and infertility, significantly
impairing the quality of life for women2,3. Endometriosis has the potential to involve multiple organ systems and
its symptoms are often chronic, resulting in a significant impact on work productivity, social life, intimate rela-
tionships, and mental health, as well as substantial societal costs. Additionally, endometriosis can affect fertility
by modifying the peritoneal environment or distorting the pelvic anatomy, with approximately 30% of patients
experiencing difficulties conceiving4. Moreover, several observational studies reported that women diagnosed
with endometriosis through surgery have a significantly increased risk of developing various types of cancer
when compared to the general population5–9.
It is of paramount importance to quantify the cancer risk associated with endometriosis. This area of study
holds significant public health implications for women regarding cancer screening and prevention, as well as for
clinicians in the ongoing management of patients diagnosed with endometriosis. Considering the current limited
understanding of endometriosis, a thorough exploration and understanding of its correlation with cancer will
notably enhance our grasp of endometriosis pathophysiology, thus propelling the advancement of endometriosis
treatment. However, whether endometriosis is a risk factor for cancers remains unclear. A recent meta-analysis
reported that a higher risk of ovarian and thyroid cancer has been observed in the context of endometriosis,
while the association with breast cancer appears to be minimal10. Meanwhile, another meta-analysis showed an
OPEN
1Department of Reproductive Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of Ningbo University (Ningbo First Hospital),
Ningbo University, Ningbo 315000, Zhejiang, People’s Republic of China. 2Department of Urology, Ningbo
Medical Center Lihuili Hospital, Ningbo University, Ningbo 315000, Zhejiang, People’s Republic of China. *email:
[email protected]
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increased risk of endometrial and thyroid cancer, an inverse association with cervical cancer, and no association
with breast cancer11. While numerous studies have explored the relationship between measures of endometriosis
and cancer risk, the causal role of endometriosis in cancers remains uncertain.
Mendelian randomization (MR) is a method that utilizes genetic variation arising from meiosis to investigate
the causal relationship between exposure and complex outcomes. MR analysis relies on integrating summary
data from genome-wide association studies (GW AS)12. A genetic variable is deemed valid in MR analysis if it
satisfies the following three assumptions: (i) the genetic variants are significantly associated with exposure, (ii) the
genetic variants are independent of confounders between exposure and outcomes, and (iii) the genetic variants
only influence the outcome through exposure13. Two-sample MR analysis refers to an MR analysis that includes
a pair of exposures and outcomes from two different datasets14. For instance, Zheng et al. utilized data from UK
Biobank (UKB) and FinnGen to indicate that obesity might increase the risk of diabetic retinopathy15. With the
rapid development of large-scale GW AS, numerous MR studies have emerged, exploring the potential causal
relationship between exposure and cancers. For example, type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) has been associated
with several cancers16.
Our investigation leveraged extensive GW AS data to explore the impact of endometriosis on women’s cancer
risk through a two-sample MR analysis. This study significantly contributes to elucidating the genetic impact of
endometriosis on women’s risk of cancer.
Methods
Genetic instruments
Figure 1 depicts the workflow of our research. The most recent data for endometriosis was obtained from
FinnGen which was released May 11, 2023. The data consists of a large-scale GW AS including 15,088 European
endometriosis cases and 107,564 controls, respectively. The threshold for selecting single nucleotide polymor -
phisms (SNPs) was set at a significant level of P < 5 × 10–8. To ensure independence between SNPs, r2 value was
calculated to verify the linkage disequilibrium (LD) among them. LD was defined based on SNPs with an r2 value
greater than 0.001 and a physical distance within 10,000 kb. Among the LD clusters formed, only those with
the most significant p-values were retained. 27 independent SNPs were generated after linkage disequilibrium
elimination (Supplementary Table 2). Next, we conducted a comprehensive search of all single nucleotide poly-
morphisms (SNPs) in Phenoscanner, a curated database that houses publicly available results from large-scale
GW AS encompassing more than 65 billion associations and over 150 million genetic variants17. The purpose of
this step was to assess whether these SNPs were related to other risk factors at the significant level (P < 5 × 10–8)
that could be potential confounders. We removed rs635634 because it was significantly related to diabetes and
ovarian cancer. Then, rs2483211 was removed because it was associated with Whole body fat mass. Finally, we
included the remaining 25 endometriosis-associated SNPs (Supplementary Table 3) as instrumental variables
in the MR analysis. A Manhattan plot was depicted to illustrate the association of SNPs with endometriosis
(Fig. 2). These included SNPs explained approximately 12.3% of the variability in endometriosis. To evaluate
the potential risk of weak instrument bias, we employed F tests to ascertain the magnitude of the association in
the initial stage regressions between allele score and exposure. We calculated an F statistic of 663, indicating the
robustness of the instrument and minimizing the potential for weak instrument bias.
Figure 1. Study design of Mendelian randomization between endometriosis and 19 types of cancer. The solid
blue lines depict the relationship between the instrumental variables and exposure, as well as the association
between exposure and outcome through MR analysis. Dashed lines with a cross signify that the association
satisfies the two fundamental assumptions of Mendelian randomization: (i) the genetic variants are unrelated to
confounding factors between exposure and outcomes, and (ii) the genetic variants solely influence the outcome
through exposure.
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The data source of human cancers
The summary statistics from the GW AS for cancers in the publicly available databases were retrieved from the
IEU open GW AS project (https:// gwas. mrcieu. ac. uk/ datas ets/). To reduce population stratification bias, we only
included European cancer cohorts18. The details of cancer data was indicated in Supplementary Table 1. Briefly,
the GW AS data for ovarian cancer was obtained from Ovarian Cancer Association Consortium, OCAC 19. The
summary data for endometrial cancer, bladder cancer, kidney cancer, and cervical cancer was derived from
MRC-IEU20. The estimates for the relationship between the SNPs and risk of breast cancer, lung cancer, head
and neck cancer, laryngeal cancer, oral cavity cancer, oral and oropharyngeal cancer, oropharyngeal cancer,
colorectal cancer, and Melanoma were obtained from UK Biobank. In our final analysis, we included a cohort
totaling approximately six million participants, with the smallest tumor cohort comprising 43,751 individuals
and the largest encompassing 463,010 individuals, thereby significantly enhancing the robustness of our results21.
Though we could not totally rule out the possibility of the same or similar individuals existing in these databases,
a small number of individuals who overlap between the exposure and outcome studies might not be severe and
the result is still convincing22.
Estimation of a causal association between endometriosis and cancer
After harmonizing the exposure and outcome data to ensure that the SNP effects on the same allele were rec-
onciled, we utilized a series of two-sample MR methods, such as inverse-variance weighted (IVW), MR Egger,
and weighted median to estimate the association between endometriosis and different types of cancer. The IVW
Method
is considered the most efficient MR method, as it assumes that all genetic variants are valid instrumental
variables (IV). However, the weighted median estimator allows for up to half of the SNPs to not be IVs, and this
Method
can evaluate whether SNPs have pleiotropic effects on the outcome23. We employed odds ratios (ORs)
along with their corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) to elucidate the impact of endometriosis on can-
cer risk. Statistical significance was determined by a p -value of less than 0.05. To further assess the robustness
of the causal association, a range of sensitivity analyses were conducted, including the heterogeneity test using
Cochran’s Q test (p < 0.05 indicates a significant heterogeneity), the pleiotropy test, and MR presso method to
analyze the outlier-corrected p value. The SNPs with missing data were deleted. All analyses described were
conducted using R software (version 4.3.1). The TwoSampleMR R package (version 0.5.7) was employed for the
MR analysis. The online web tool Sangerbox was used to visualize the results of forest plots24. The mRnd website
(https:// shiny. cnsge nomics. com/ mRnd/) was used to calculate the statistical power25.
Results
The causal effect of endometriosis on ovarian cancer
Using the 25 endometriosis-associated SNPs (Supplementary Table 3), we found strong evidence of a significant
causal effect of endometriosis on a higher risk of ovarian cancer via inverse-variance weighted method (OR = 1.19,
95% CI 1.11–1.29, p < 0.0001). Meanwhile, similar risk estimations were obtained through the utilization of MR-
Egger regression (OR = 1.38, 95% CI 1.12–1.70, p < 0.01) and weighted median methodologies (OR = 1.18, 95%
CI 1.08–1.30, p < 0.001). However, a slight heterogeneity was observed with a Cochran Q-test derived p-value of
0.045 for IVW and a p-value of 0.075 for MR-Egger. No significant evidence of pleiotropy was observed, with a
p-value of 0.15, indicating that there were no genetic effects beyond the intended exposure of interest.
Given the well-established association between endometriosis and an elevated risk of ovarian cancer, we con-
ducted a comprehensive analysis to explore the causal impact of endometriosis on specific histological subtypes
Figure 2. The Manhattan plot illustrates the association of SNPs with endometriosis. The X-axis is sequentially
arranged to represent chromosomes 1 through 23, with each SNP’s chromosomal position denoted by dots. The
Y-axis delineates the association analysis outcomes, expressed as the negative logarithm of the p-values (−log10
[p-value]), where elevated positions correspond to SNPs exhibiting more robust associations. A grey dashed line
parallel to the X-axis signifies the p-value threshold at 5 × 10–8, with points surpassing this threshold indicating
loci of significant genetic association. Red dots denote all SNPs included as instrumental variables in the
analysis.
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of ovarian cancer, namely clear cell ovarian cancer, invasive mucinous ovarian cancer, and endometrioid ovarian
cancer via inverse-variance weighted method. Remarkably, our findings revealed a significant association between
endometriosis and an increased risk of clear cell ovarian cancer (OR = 2.04, 95% CI 1.66–2.51, p < 0.0001).
Similarly, a relationship between endometriosis and a higher risk of endometrioid ovarian cancer was found
(OR = 1.45, 95% CI 1.27–1.65, p < 0.0001). However, no statistically significant association was observed between
endometriosis and invasive mucinous ovarian cancer (OR = 1.15, 95% CI 0.94–1.41, p = 0.18). Figure 3 presents
the forest plot illustrating the causal influence of endometriosis on ovarian cancer.
The causal effect of endometriosis on other cancers
We proceeded to examine the causal influence of endometriosis on a wide range of common cancers, encompass-
ing breast cancer, lung cancer, head and neck cancer, laryngeal cancer, oral cavity cancer, oral and oropharyngeal
cancer, oropharyngeal cancer, endometrial cancer, colorectal cancer, bladder cancer, lymphoma, brain cancer,
kidney cancer, melanoma, and cervical cancer (Supplementary Table 1). Unlike previous observational studies
and meta-analyses, our findings did not reveal any significant association between endometriosis and breast
cancer, or endometrial cancer10,26,27. However, we did identify a solitary significant causal impact of endometriosis
on a slightly increased risk of bladder cancer (OR = 1.0008, 95% CI 1.0001–1.0014, p = 0.02). No heterogene-
ity was observed, as indicated by a Cochran Q-test derived p -value of 0.47 for IVW and a p -value of 0.51 for
MR-Egger. Furthermore, there was no evidence of pleiotropy, with a p -value of 0.15. Nevertheless, in light of
the OR = 1.0008 and p = 0.02, indicating a probable false positive result, we applied the Bonferroni correction
method, adjusting the p-value to 0.0026, obtained by dividing 0.05 by 19. As a result, the relationship between
endometriosis and the risk of bladder cancer should be regarded as a false positive finding. The forest plot
depicting the causal impact of endometriosis on cancers is presented in Fig. 4. The scatter plots and funnel plots
illustrating each pair of associations for casualty were presented in the supplementary materials (supplementary
Figs. 1–19). The outcome of the Leave-one-out analysis suggested that there was no significant impact on the
Results
(supplementary Figs. 20–38).
Finally, we have conducted statistical power analyses for each specified outcome, ascertaining that the statisti-
cal power for ovarian cancer, clear cell ovarian cancer, invasive mucinous ovarian cancer and endometrioid ovar-
ian cancer exceeded 0.8, thereby further substantiating the credibility of our conclusions (Supplementary Table 4).
Discussion
To the best of our knowledge, this is the first MR analysis examining the potential causal relationship between
endometriosis and a wide range of cancers. Ultimately, we have discovered compelling evidence suggesting a
significant causal effect of endometriosis on an increased risk of ovarian cancer, especially clear cell ovarian
cancer, and endometrioid ovarian cancer. However, we did not find any significant association between endo -
metriosis and other types of cancer.
The relationship between endometriosis and the risk of cancer has been controversial for tens of years. In
2002, Olson et al. reported that endometriosis was not associated with an elevated risk of cancers in a cohort
study including 37,434 participants28. However, in 2007 Melin et al. found that endometriosis was associated
with elevated risks for endocrine tumors, ovarian cancer, renal cancer, thyroid cancer, brain tumours, malignant
melanoma, and breast cancer, as well as a reduced risk for cervical cancer after excluding cancers already present
at the time of endometriosis diagnosis9. Kok et al. reported increased risks of all cancers, ovarian cancer, and
endometrial cancer7. In 2018, Saraswat et al. conducted a cohort study including 281 937 women with almost 5
million person-years of follow-up and found that women with surgically diagnosed endometriosis would face an
Figure 3. MR analysis revealed the causal influence of endometriosis on different histological subtypes of
ovarian cancer. There were significant and robust associations between endometriosis and an increased risk of
ovarian cancer, clear cell ovarian cancer, and endometrioid ovarian cancer. Case, the number of patient who has
been diagnosed with a specific type of cancer in the cohort; Sample size, the number of individuals involved in
the study.
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increased risk of ovarian cancer5. Additionally, the majority of previous epidemiological studies were designed
as case–control studies and were unable to establish a clear causal relationship due to a lack of precise temporal
sequencing. Even in prospective cohort studies, where cancer patients at the time of endometriosis diagnosis
were excluded, there still remained a reverse effect on undiagnosed subclinical cancer that potentially contribute
to the development of endometriosis. Therefore, it is plausible that endometriosis may not serve as a predictive
factor for cancer development, but rather be an outcome resulting from the presence of cancer. Furthermore,
previous observational studies faced challenges in avoiding confounding risk factors. However, in the current
study, we were able to overcome these limitations by employing Mendelian randomization methods, which
allowed us to establish a more robust causal relationship and mitigate the bias inherent in the study design. In a
recent investigation concerning the relationship between endometriosis and epithelial ovarian cancer, a correla-
tion was identified between endometriosis and the risk of developing epithelial ovarian cancer, endometrioid
carcinoma, clear cell carcinoma, and low malignant potential tumors29. This finding aligns with our conclusions
but was derived from a distinct database utilizing Mendelian randomization analysis, further substantiating the
reliability of the findings presented in our manuscript.
The pathogenesis of cancer is exceedingly intricate30–35. Endometriosis and cancer share many similarities,
particularly their ability to proliferate cells in oxygen-deprived environments, their invasive nature, and their
capacity to induce tissue remodeling, vascularization, and innervation36. Endometriotic tissue often contains
cancer-associated mutations that are frequently observed in ovarian cancers associated with endometriosis37.
In recent years, there has been a growing body of evidence indicating the presence of somatic mutations in
cancer-associated genes including ARID1A, PIK3CA, KRAS, or PPP2R1A in endometriotic lesions38–40. These
well-known genes are also commonly subject to mutations in ovarian cancers associated with endometriosis41.
These findings provide additional validation for our discoveries, highlighting a causal relationship between endo-
metriosis and elevated susceptibility to ovarian cancer. This revelation stimulates novel pathways of inquiry into
the underlying mechanisms of endometriosis, potentially paving the way for the development of a biologically-
driven classification system that enhances prognostication and enables precise therapeutic approaches.
Our findings unequivocally validate a causal association between endometriosis and an elevated risk of
ovarian cancer, aligning with the conclusions drawn from a recent comprehensive meta-analysis 10. Further-
more, our investigation delved deeper into the correlation between endometriosis and histological subtypes of
ovarian cancer, unearthing a more pronounced link between endometriosis and an increased risk of clear cell
ovarian cancer and endometrioid ovarian cancer. In contrast to prior observational studies and meta-analyses,
we discovered a significant causal influence of endometriosis on a modestly heightened risk of bladder cancer,
while no association between endometriosis and other types of cancer was observed. However, result of Bonfer-
roni correction method indicated that the link between endometriosis and the risk of bladder cancer should be
regarded as a false positive finding. Notebaly, a recent study showed a causal relationship between endometriosis
and a decreased risk of breast cancer (odds ratio [OR] 0.95; 95% CI 0.90–0.99, p = 0.02)42. Given the application
of the Bonferroni correction method, we advocate caution in interpreting the association between endometriosis
and a reduced risk of overall breast cancer. More studies should be performed to unveil the underlying pathways
between endometriosis and cancers, both at biological and behavioral levels.
Our study possesses several notable strengths. Firstly, employing the MR design allows us to emulate rand -
omized controlled trials within observational settings. Randomized controlled trials are widely recognized as
Figure 4. MR analysis unveiled the causal impact of endometriosis on diverse types of cancer. Notably, a
significant correlation between endometriosis and a slightly elevated risk of bladder cancer was observed, which
should be regarded as a false positive finding. No significant association between endometriosis and other
cancer types could be discerned. Case, the number of patient who has been diagnosed with a specific type of
cancer in the cohort; Sample size, the number of individuals involved in the study.
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the gold standard for establishing causality, but they are often prohibitively expensive and logistically challenging
to conduct. However, MR studies effectively mitigate confounding biases by depositing the random assignment
of SNPs at conception. In comparison to other observational studies, MR also circumvents the issue of reverse
causality. Secondly, our findings have the potential to significantly impact healthcare strategies for both endo -
metriosis and cancer. Given the high prevalence of endometriosis in the general population, establishing a causal
link between endometriosis and cancer has important implications for public health policies, particularly in terms
of early prevention and timely intervention. Our findings suggest that intensifying ovarian cancer screening for
patients with endometriosis may yield benefits. Further investigations are warranted to elucidate the underlying
pathways connecting endometriosis and various human cancers.
However, it is crucial to acknowledge several limitations in our study. Firstly, all GW AS data utilized in our
analysis were derived from European populations. Therefore, the generalizability of our findings to other popula-
tions remains to be explored. Secondly, it is important to recognize that we were unable to eliminate all potential
confounding factors associated with cancers, which may have implications for the accuracy of our conclusions.
Finally, our primary focus was on specific cancer types, notably ovarian and breast cancer, owing to their well-
established associations with endometriosis. Nevertheless, we did not analyze the potential association between
endometriosis and other cancer types, such as bone tumors.
In conclusion, we have uncovered compelling evidence indicating a causal relationship between endometriosis
and an elevated risk of ovarian cancer, particularly clear cell ovarian cancer and endometrioid ovarian cancer.
However, our investigation did not reveal any significant associations between endometriosis and other types of
cancer. To comprehensively elucidate the underlying mechanisms connecting endometriosis and various cancers,
further studies are warranted, encompassing both biological and behavioral aspects.
Data availability
Some databases supporting this study’s findings are openly available and described in ‘Methods’ . The exposure
data was obtained from the FinnGen database and can be accessed via https:// www. finng en. fi/ en. The outcome
data was obtained from IEU open GW AS project (https:// gwas. mrcieu. ac. uk/ datas ets/) and the GW AS ID was
listed in Supplementary Table 1. Other data are available from the corresponding author.
Received: 4 November 2023; Accepted: 4 April 2024
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Author contributions
Y an Huaqing and Zhang Liqi designed this study. Zhang Liqi drafted the manuscript. Y an Huaqing provided
critical comments, and suggestions, and revised the manuscript. All authors gave their consent for publication.
Funding
This work was supported by The Natural Science Foundation of Ningbo (2022J259) and The Natural Science
Foundation of Ningbo (2023J145).
Competing interests
The authors declare no competing interests.
Additional information
Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at https:// doi. org/
10. 1038/ s41598- 024- 58950-7.
Correspondence and requests for materials should be addressed to H.Y .
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