Introduction
Endometriosis is a common benign gynecologic disease defined by the presence of
Original Article
http://dx.doi.org/10.3349/ymj.2015.56.4.1079
pISSN: 0513-5796, eISSN: 1976-2437 Yonsei Med J 56(4):1079-1086, 2015
Bo Hyon Yun, et al.
Yonsei Med J http://www.eymj.org Volume 56 Number 4 July 20151080
the uterus and at least one ovary intact. Exclusion criteria in-
cluded previous medical or surgical treatment of endometri-
osis, previous pelvic surgery for uterine or ovarian masses,
extrapelvic endometriosis, such as vaginal, abdominal wall,
or pulmonary endometriosis, and malignancy. Conservative
laparoscopy was performed by three gynecologic laparosco-
py specialists. All surgical procedures aimed for complete
removal of all gross lesions and anatomical restoration to
preserve or restore reproductive function; additionally, the
procedure included electrofulguration or excision of endo-
metriotic implants on the peritoneum, excision of endome-
triomas, and lysis of adhesions. The type of surgery was
chosen and tailored for each individual case, with consider-
ation for the severity of the disease. Postoperative medica-
tions included gonadotropin-releasing hormone agonists
(GnRHa) and/or hormone therapy such as oral contracep-
tives, oral progestins, and a levonorgestrel-intrauterine sys-
tem. After surgery, pelvic ultrasonography was performed
every 6‒12 months. The recurrence of endometriosis was
defined as the recurrence of dysmenorrhea as pain recurring
after surgery with a severity score equal to or higher than
that before surgery or the recurrence of endometriomas with
the presence of ovarian cysts 2 cm in diameter for more than
two consecutive menstrual cycles.4,5,9,11
Clinical characteristics and operative findings were record-
ed for all study subjects including age at the time of surgery,
body mass index, age at menarche, parity, menstrual history,
coexisting adenomyosis, type of surgery, postoperative med-
ications, pregnancy after surgery, the preoperative serum
CA-125 level, the size of the largest cyst, anatomical loca-
tion, rAFS stage, and rAFS score. The severity of endometri-
osis was determined by scores derived from the rAFS classi-
fication system10 according to operative findings including
the location, size, extent, depth, and density of the endometri-
oma and adhesions. These rAFS component scores included
a spot score, an ovarian cyst score, an ovarian and tubal ad-
hesion score, the bilaterality of ovarian cysts and ovarian and
tubal adhesions, and cul-de-sac (CDS) obliteration. The
scores were assigned by the gynecologist who performed
the surgery. Serum CA-125 was checked after the initial di-
agnosis, up to 2 weeks prior to surgery. The level of serum
CA-125 was measured with a CA-125 II electrochemilumi-
nescence immunoassay using the Roche/Hitachi Modular
Analytics E170 (Roche Diagnostics, Tokyo, Japan).
Continuous data are presented as means±standard devia-
tions or medians and interquartile ranges. Categorical data
are presented as numbers and percentages. To compare vari-
endometrial glands and stroma outside of the uterus.1,2 The
disease typically affects women of reproductive age and re-
mains a major cause of disability stemming from dysmenor-
rhea, chronic pelvic pain, and subfertility.1 Surgery is a con-
firmed option for relieving pain and also may improve
fertility; since recent years, it has been performed by lapa-
roscopy with results equivalent to or better than surgery by
laparotomy.3 However, the postoperative recurrence rates af-
ter 3 years range from 15‒30%,3 with half of these patients
requiring reoperation.4
Recurrence of endometriosis leads to several concerns in
women of reproductive age in terms of lowered quality of
life caused by recurrent pain and a compromised ovarian re-
serve due to recurrent endometriomas; such issues may
cause the clinician to hesitate when deciding the treatment
modality. As is well known, a longer postoperative treat-
ment of endometriosis results in less recurrence. However,
there are no definite prognostic factors for recurrence that
can be used in the clinical field during the follow-up period,
although many studies have been conducted to identify the
risk factors for recurrence of endometriosis.5-9
The revised American Fertility Society (rAFS) classifica-
tion system is the most widely-used method of determining
the severity of endometriosis by point scoring followed by
staging. Almost all studies that have utilized the rAFS clas-
sification system have addressed the use of rAFS stage and
score as risk factors; however, few studies have evaluated
the predictive value of each separate component of the sys-
tem.10 In the present study, we aimed to investigate the risk
factors of recurrent endometriosis by evaluating components
of rAFS system from previous surgeries.
Materials and methods
We retrospectively reviewed the medical records of women
ages 18 to 49 years who underwent conservative laparosco-
py with histologic confirmation of endometriosis at Gang-
nam Severance Hospital from March 2003 to May 2010.
The participants provided written informed consent to par-
ticipate in this study, and we received the data in an anony-
mized form. This study was carried out in accordance with
the ethical standards of the Helsinki Declaration and was ap-
proved by the Institutional Review Board of Gangnam Sev-
erance Hospital (3-2011-0282).
Conservative laparoscopy was defined as laparoscopic
surgical removal of all endometriotic lesions while leaving
Prognostic Factors for Recurrent Endometriosis
Yonsei Med J http://www.eymj.org Volume 56 Number 4 July 2015 1081
whom 80 (21.2%) had recurrent endometriosis after laparo-
scopic surgery. The median duration of follow-up was 19.0
months. The clinical characteristics of patients with and
without recurrence of endometriosis are presented in Table
1. Significant differences were found between the two
groups with respect to age at the time of surgery, parity, the
type of surgery performed, and preoperative CA-125 level.
Table 2 shows operative findings including data for the
rAFS classification system components for both groups. In
addition to the rAFS total score and stage, the size of the
largest cyst, the rAFS cyst score, the rAFS adnexal adhesion
score, the rAFS ovarian adhesion score, and the rAFS tubal
adhesion score were significantly higher in the recurrent en-
dometriosis group than in the non-recurrent group. There
were also significant differences between the two groups in
terms of the anatomical location of the cysts, the bilaterality
of the cysts, and the bilaterality of the adnexal adhesions. Of
the adnexal adhesions, only the frequency of bilateral ovari-
an adhesions showed a significant difference between gro-
ups, while bilateral tubal adhesions did not. The frequencies
of no, partial, and complete CDS obliteration were 36.3%,
27.4%, and 36.3% in the recurrent endometriosis group and
45.2%, 36.4%, and 18.4% in the non-recurrent group, re-
ables between the recurrent and non-recurrent groups, two-
sample t-tests were used for continuous variables, and chi-
square or Fisher’s exact tests were used for categorical var-
iables where appropriate. A Kaplan-Meier survival analysis
was used to determine the univariate relationship of the
rAFS ovarian adhesion scores to disease-free survival times.
Log-rank tests were used to examine significant differences
in hazard distributions between groups according to rAFS
ovarian adhesion scores. A Cox multivariate analysis was
performed to eliminate confounding factors and to identify
significant variables that could independently contribute to
the recurrence of endometriosis. A multivariate model was
built using factors that had p-values<0.05 on univariate anal-
ysis and excluding factors that potentially had either multi-
collinearity or clinical correlation. For all analyses, a p-val-
ue<0.05 was considered to be statistically significant. All
statistical analyses were conducted using SPSS software
version 18.0 (SPSS Inc., Chicago, IL, USA).
Results
The medical records of 379 patients were reviewed, of
Table 1. Clinical Characteristics of Participants
Variables
Descriptive statistics Univariate analysis
Recurrent
(n=80)
Non-recurrent
(n=299) p value Hazard ratio
(95% CI) p value
Duration of follow-up (months) 27.21±16.87 25.02±21.88 0.041
Age at time of surgery (yrs) 28.78±5.51 32.51±6.99 <0.0001 0.926 (0.893‒0.959) <0.0001
Parity (%) 0.006
0 (ref) 66 (82.5) 194 (64.9) 1
1 9 (11.3) 46 (15.4) 0.518 (0.258‒1.040) 0.064
≥2 5 (6.3) 59 (19.7) 0.256 (0.103‒0.636) 0.003
Type of surgery (%) 0.011
Laparoscopic electrocauterization
only (ref) 7 (8.8) 6 (2.0) 1
Laparoscopic cystectomy 64 (80.0) 242 (80.9) 0.576 (0.263‒1.262) 0.168
Laparoscopic oophorectomy 9 (11.3) 51 (17.1) 0.318 (0.118‒0.855) 0.023
Postoperative medication (%) 0.071
None 13 (16.3) 58 (19.4) 0.721 (0.387‒1.345) 0.304
GnRHa only (ref) 43 (53.8) 114 (38.1) 1
GnRHa with subsequent hormone
therapy 22 (27.5) 106 (35.5) 0.398 (0.238‒0.666) 35 62 (83.8) 184 (64.8) 2.375 (1.279‒4.407) 0.006
GnRHa, gonadotropin-releasing hormone agonist; CI, confidence interval.
Data are expressed as mean±SD, or number of cases (%). Two sample t-test, chi-square test.
Bo Hyon Yun, et al.
Yonsei Med J http://www.eymj.org Volume 56 Number 4 July 20151082
endometriosis group (48.8%) experienced recurrent pelvic
pain. Patients with recurrent bilateral lesions had a higher in-
cidence of bilateral cysts prior to surgery than those with
unilateral or spot lesions (p=0.002) (Table 3).
Univariate analyses using Cox regression for the recur-
rence of endometriosis were performed on factors that
showed significant differences between the two groups. The
hazard ratios (HRs) for the factors used in the univariate
spectively, showing an increased frequency of complete
obliteration in patients with recurrence. The rAFS spot score
and the frequency of bilateral tubal adhesions were not dif-
ferent between the two groups.
Of the 80 patients who experienced recurrence, 3 (3.8%)
were diagnosed due to recurrent pain symptoms, 47 (58.7%)
by ultrasonography, and the remaining 30 (37.5%) by surgi-
cal confirmation. About half of the patients in the recurrent
Table 2. Operative Findings in Patients with and without Recurrence of Endometriosis
Variables
Descriptive statistics Univariate analysis
Recurrent
(n=80)
Non-recurrent
(n=299) p value Hazard ratio
(95% CI) p value
Size of the largest cyst (cm) 5.53±2.58 4.88±2.42 0.038 1.102 (1.021‒1.188) 0.012
Anatomical location of cyst (%) 0.001
Spot only 2 (2.5) 4 (1.3) 1
Left-sided unilateral 20 (25.0) 121 (40.5) 0.382 (0.144‒1.013) 0.053
Right-sided unilateral 20 (25.0) 99 (33.1) 0.597 (0.227‒1.573) 0.297
Bilateral 38 (47.5) 75 (25.1) 0.507 (0.186‒1.380) 0.184
rAFS stage (%) <0.0001
I 0 (0) 2 (0.7) 1
II 1 (1.3) 5 (1.7)
III 26 (32.5) 175 (58.5) 0.631 0.649
IV 59 (66.3) 117 (39.1)
rAFS total score 58.89±30.07 43.91±26.35 <0.0001 1.014 (1.007‒1.022) <0.0001
rAFS spot score 0.68±1.27 0.84±1.47 0.362
rAFS ovarian cyst score 25.95±10.05 22.54±8.29 0.006 1.027 (1.004‒1.051) 0.023
Ovarian cyst bilaterality (%) <0.0001
Unilateral 38 (48.7) 196 (70.8) 1
Bilateral 40 (51.3) 81 (29.2) 1.955 (1.253‒3.053) 0.003
rAFS adnexal adhesion score 17.06±16.05 11.97±12.97 0.003 1.017 (1.003‒1.031) 0.014
Adnexal adhesion bilaterality (%) 0.004
No adhesion 10 (12.5) 70 (23.4) 1
Unilateral 26 (32.5) 123 (41.1) 1.472 (0.705‒3.071) 0.303
Bilateral 44 (55.0) 106 (35.5) 2.225 (1.116‒4.436) 0.023
rAFS ovarian adhesion score 9.94±8.76 6.90±7.26 0.002 1.038 (1.012‒1.065) 0.004
Ovarian adhesion bilaterality (%) 0.002
No adhesion 11 (13.8) 78 (26.1) 1
Unilateral 26 (32.5) 122 (40.8) 1.466 (0.721‒2.978) 0.291
Bilateral 43 (53.8) 99 (33.1) 2.341 (1.204‒4.549) 0.012
rAFS tubal adhesion score 7.23±8.95 5.08±6.89 0.049 1.024 (0.998‒1.050) 0.072
Tubal adhesion bilaterality (%) 0.288
No adhesion 33 (41.3) 132 (44.1)
Unilateral 19 (23.8) 88 (29.4)
Bilateral 28 (35.0) 79 (26.4)
CDS obliteration (%) 0.003
None 29 (36.3) 135 (45.2) 1
Partial 22 (27.4) 109 (36.4)
Complete 29 (36.3) 55 (18.4) 2.182 (1.383‒3.443) 0.001
rAFS, revised American Fertility Society; CDS, cul-de-sac; CI, confidence interval.
Data are expressed as mean±SD, or number of cases (%). Two sample t-test, chi-square test.
Prognostic Factors for Recurrent Endometriosis
Yonsei Med J http://www.eymj.org Volume 56 Number 4 July 2015 1083
bilateral ovarian adhesions (p=0.012), and complete CDS
obliteration (p=0.001) were all shown to be factors that may
influence the risk for recurrent endometriosis.
Fig. 1 show the Kaplan-Meier survival curves for progres-
sion-free survival for different rAFS ovarian adhesion score
groups. Given that the rAFS ovarian adhesion score classi-
fies each subject into a specific category, subjects were
placed into four groups that were determined by scores of
0‒8, 9‒16, 17‒24, and >24, and those with higher scores
were associated with an increased hazard of recurrence (p=
0.004). Patients with a rAFS ovarian adhesion score of >24
had a significantly higher cumulative hazard of recurrence
compared with those having a score of ≤24 (p=0.004).
A multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that a
rAFS ovarian adhesion score of >24 was associated with a
significantly increased risk of recurrence of endometriosis
(Table 4). The variables that we identified as independent
risk factors for the recurrence of endometriosis were young-
er age at the time of surgery, ovarian cyst bilaterality, rAFS
ovarian adhesion score >24, and complete CDS obliteration.
A rAFS ovarian score of >24 was the risk factor with the
highest (HR: 2.996; 95% CI: 1.133‒7.923; p=0.027), and
the HR for complete CDS obliteration was the second high-
est (HR: 2.274; 95% CI: 1.227‒4.215; p=0.009). Although
not as high, the HR for bilateral ovarian cysts indicated a
significantly increased risk of recurrence (HR: 1.835; 95%
CI: 1.137‒2.960; p=0.013). In addition, a postoperative med-
ication regimen of GnRHa with subsequent hormone therapy
indicated a decreased risk of recurrence compared with Gn-
RHa alone.
analyses are presented in Table 1 and 2, beside the descrip-
tive statistics. Age at the time of surgery (p<0.0001), parity
(nulliparous versus≥2; p=0.003), type of surgery (electro-
cauterization only versus oophorectomy; p=0.023), postop-
erative medications (GnRHa only versus GnRHa with sub-
sequent hormone therapy; p35 U/mL (p=0.006), size of the largest cyst
(p=0.012), rAFS total score (p<0.0001), rAFS ovarian cyst
score (p= 0.023), ovarian cyst bilaterality (unilateral versus
bilateral; p=0.003), rAFS ovarian adhesion score (p=0.004),
Table 3. Characteristics of Patients with Recurrence of En-
dometriosis
Variables Number
(proportion)
Recurrent pain (%) 39 (48.8)
Diagnostic tool for recurrence (%)
Symptoms only 3 (3.8)
Ultrasonography only 47 (58.7)
Surgical confirmation 30 (37.5)
Recurrent cyst bilaterality (%)
Only spot 5 (6.3)
Unilateral
Left side 30 (37.5)
Right side 26 (32.5)
Bilateral 19 (23.8)
Ratio of initial bilateral cyst to recurrent
lesion (%), p=0.002*
Recurrent spot 0 /4 (0)
Recurrent unilateral 25/57 (43.9)
Recurrent bilateral 15/19 (78.9)
*Chi-square test.
Fig. 1. Cumulative incidence of recurrent endometriosis for different ovarian adhesion score groups. (A) Patients divided into four groups. (B) Groups with a
cut off level of 24.
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
Cumulative incidence (%)
Cumulative incidence (%)
20 2040 4060 60
Months Months
80 800 100 0 100
0‒24
Ovarian adhesion score
Ovarian adhesion score
Log rank p=0.004 Log rank p=0.004
A B
0‒8
17‒24
25‒40
9‒16 25‒40
Bo Hyon Yun, et al.
Yonsei Med J http://www.eymj.org Volume 56 Number 4 July 20151084
trating endometriosis (DIE). This is further complicated by
the anatomical location of the lesions, given that they are
found just above the ureter. In patients with endometriosis,
the more complete the removal of the lesions, the lower the
rate of recurrence.12 As a result, dense ovarian adhesions and
pelvic-side-wall DIE are associated with a poor prognosis of
the recurrence of endometriosis. Our results show that the
ovarian adhesion score, rather than the tubal adhesion score,
correlated with the recurrence of endometriosis. Several pre-
vious studies have examined the relationship between ad-
nexal adhesions and clinical outcomes of endometriosis in
terms of infertility.13 However, these studies were focused
on tubal rather than ovarian adhesions. The difference ob-
served in our study offers evidence that tubal involvement
may affect infertility due to its distortion of the anatomy and
micromovement of fimbriae, while endometriomas involv-
ing the ovaries may be more related to recurrence.
In our study, the preoperative serum CA-125 level was a
predictive factor for the recurrence of endometriosis with
borderline significance (p=0.084), although it was signifi-
cantly correlated with the rAFS total score, ovarian cyst
score, and complete CDS obliteration excluding adhesion.
Serum CA-125 is currently the most useful marker of endo-
metriosis and is typically checked preoperatively to evaluate
the usefulness of postoperative monitoring. Preoperative
CA-125 may have limited diagnostic accuracy, however,
with low sensitivity and thus limited adequacy for predicting
recurrence of endometriosis. We calculated the area under
the receiver operating curve for preoperative CA-125 lev-
els; however, our results did not provide an adequate level
of discrimination or sensitivity (data not shown). As several
studies have shown that preoperative CA-125 in conjunc-
tion with other markers may have considerable overall sen-
sitivity and specificity,14,15 further studies that involve a larg-
er number of participants and combine preoperative serum
CA-125 levels with rAFS scores from surgery may provide
meaningful findings.
Previously, several studies have suggested that neither the
rAFS classification system nor the stage correlates with post-
operative outcomes such as pregnancy, recurrence of dys-
menorrhea, and recurrence of the disease.8,9 Although these
previous studies compared the rAFS stage itself, we ana-
lyzed not only the stage but also the detailed components of
the classification. Meanwhile, our results indirectly share the
finding of a higher recurrence risk in an advanced stage,11,16
as the combination of ovarian adhesion, bilateral ovarian
cysts, and complete CDS obliteration reflect an advanced
Discussion
In this study, we evaluated each component of the rAFS
classification system and demonstrated that the ovarian ad-
hesion score of the previous surgery was the best prognostic
factor for the recurrence of endometriosis. In addition, we
found that complete CDS obliteration and bilateral ovarian
cysts were also significant predictors of disease recurrence.
Along with the previous studies, our study adds to findings
of increased recurrence in advanced-stage endometriosis, re-
flected by complete CDS obliteration and bilateral ovarian
cysts in our study.11
Our data suggest that a threshold rAFS ovarian adhesion
score of >24 correlates with significant disease recurrence.
According to the rAFS classification system,10 an ovarian
adhesion score of >24 implies the existence of dense adhe-
sions invading at least two thirds of the ovary, with subovar-
ian adhesions invading the lateral pelvic wall. In cases of
dense subovarian adhesions, which consist of reactive fi-
brotic tissue involving the lateral pelvic peritoneum, the le-
sions are potentially deeply infiltrating, similar to deep infil-
Table 4. Hazard Ratios and p Values from Multivariate Analy-
sis of Clinical Factors
Variables Multivariate analysis
p value Hazard ratio (95% CI)
Age at time of surgery (yrs) <0.0001 0.920 (0.885‒0.957)
Postoperative medication
None 0.559 1.236 (0.607‒2.513)
GnRHa only (ref) - 1
GnRHa with subsequent
hormone therapy 0.001 0.385 (0.224‒0.663)
Hormone therapy only 0.799 0.827 (0.193‒3.552)
Preoperative serum CA-125
level (U/mL)
≤35 (ref) - 1
>35 0.084 1.773 (0.926‒3.393)
Size of the largest cyst (cm) 0.979 1.001 (0.911‒1.100)
Ovarian cyst bilaterality
Unilateral (ref) - 1
Bilateral 0.013 1.835 (1.137‒2.960)
rAFS ovarian adhesion score
≤24 (ref) - 1
>24 0.027 2.996 (1.133‒7.923)
CDS obliteration
Non-complete (ref) - 1
Complete 0.009 2.274 (1.227‒4.215)
GnRHa, gonadotropin-releasing hormone agonist; rAFS, revised American
Fertility Society; CDS, cul-de-sac; CI, confidence interval.
Prognostic Factors for Recurrent Endometriosis
Yonsei Med J http://www.eymj.org Volume 56 Number 4 July 2015 1085
Also, increased preoperative serum CA-125 levels seemed
to be associated with the risk of recurrence yet showed bor-
derline significance. However, the CA-125 level still re-
mains the most commonly-used biomarker of endometrio-
sis. Thus, identification of new combinations of markers in
addition to serum CA-125 would be more useful in predict-
ing recurrence risk.
Acknowledgements
This research was supported by Basic Science Research Pro-
gram through the National Research Foundation of Korea
(NRF) funded by the Ministry of Education, Science, and
Technology (NRF-2012R1A1A1013167).
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therapy following GnRHa compared with GnRHa alone
was a favorable prognostic factor, corroborating data from
another recent report.17 Therefore, in patients at high risk for
recurrence of endometriosis, continuous hormone therapy
should be recommended after GnRHa treatment.
Differing from others, we evaluated the risk value of each
individual component of the rAFS classification system for
the recurrence of endometriosis. As a result, we discovered
that the rAFS ovarian adhesion score was a risk factor for
recurrent endometriosis. Moreover, almost all of the previ-
ously reported potential variables were measured in this
study as well to eliminate all possible confounding factors.
Finally, we excluded all patients who had previously under-
gone pelvic surgeries, as they were more likely to have ex-
isting surgical adhesions and artificially-increased rAFS
scores. However, as a retrospective study, our findings were
limited by several factors. First, a second-look laparoscopy
was not performed on all patients. As a result, a number of
patients were diagnosed with recurrent endometriosis with-
out pathological confirmation. Additionally, serum levels of
CA-125 are known to change throughout the menstrual cy-
cle;18 however, we did not address the relationship of blood
sampling with the timing of the menstrual period. Given
these limitations, further prospective studies are warranted
to corroborate our results.
In conclusion, we have documented that the ovarian adhe-
sion score, a component of the rAFS classification system,
was a significant risk factor for recurrent endometriosis after
conservative laparoscopy. A rAFS ovarian adhesion score of
>24 was associated with significantly worse progression-
free survival rates. This scoring component may provide a
new mechanism for identifying and managing patients with
poorer prognoses. Therefore, in patients with high rAFS
ovarian adhesion scores and suspected dense extended sub-
ovarian adhesions or pelvic-side-wall DIE, careful explora-
tion and complete resection of the lesions may be superior to
adhesiolysis alone for preventing recurrent endometriosis.
Bo Hyon Yun, et al.
Yonsei Med J http://www.eymj.org Volume 56 Number 4 July 20151086
laterality of recurrent endometriomas after conservative surgery.
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